Rising in the Rankings

[Flarp55]

Lol how it is all a PS to your original post.

---

(06-01-2014 03:28 PM)TheGreatErenan Wrote:  P.S. A lot of people really seem to have gotten the wrong idea from OML's comments concerning Outwitters being "out of production." OML did not say that there would no new updates for Outwitters. In fact, all they said was that they had moved out of content production on Outwitters and then immediately and explicitly clarified that all this meant was that there would be no new teams or map packs but that they would continue to allot manhours to balancing gameplay issues, implementing bug fixes, and supporting servers and seasons. Preventing players from abusing P1 game cancellation clearly falls into this latter category, so I see no obvious reason to doubt that a fix could be implemented.

P.P.S. I think you can actually make at least some educated guesses at how much people abuse the system by cancelling P1 games, at least with players who play a lot of games. Look at the match histories of as many players as you can find who are known (for sure) not to cancel any games but who play many many games. Check the proportions of their P1 games and what maps they are on. Theoretically, if the map-selection system works the same way for all players, then with a large enough sample there should be some consistency to the proportions (if it's supposed to be roughly even, for instance, then theoretically each map would appear about 9% of the time for every player in your sample). If such a consistency to the proportions does in fact emerge from a large sample, then if you look at a player's history and find that it deviates significantly from the expected norms, it would be plausible that they are cancelling P1 matches on whatever maps appear less often. Some other math guys/gals please check me on this claim if you wish. Analyzing data isn't exactly my special area of expertise (speculating about the correctness of Platonist and Nominalist ontological theories of musical works is ).

Ok, so let x be the number of P1 games for any given player. Then the probability that he/she will have no P1 games on some map is about 11*(10/11)^50. So if a player has played 50 games as P1, then there is actually still about a 9.4% chance that there are no games for some map. Note that only P1 season 5 games should be counted.